0x4c9943...951fe9

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.5%

Total P&L

-$61

Trade Count

1,644

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

0.26

Max Drawdown

291.2%

ROI

-1.9%

Profit Factor

0.85

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will CR win the second most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?	BUY	99.0¢	1.768	Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	96.0¢	2.21	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	94.5¢	2.212	Mar 4
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	BUY	91.0¢	1.297	Mar 4
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	96.2¢	1.27	Mar 4
Will Hassan Rouhani be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	98.1¢	1.274	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	98.4¢	3.04	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	98.9¢	3.043	Mar 4
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?	SELL	90.0¢	3.16	Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	2	Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the third-most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	SELL	96.1¢	0.19	Mar 3
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	SELL	94.2¢	0.15	Mar 3
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	BUY	79.0¢	1.658	Mar 2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	SELL	34.0¢	0.41	Mar 2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	SELL	34.0¢	3.87	Mar 2
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	BUY	35.0¢	4.286	Mar 2
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	76.0¢	0.13	Mar 2
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	76.0¢	0.7	Mar 2
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	76.0¢	0.68	Mar 2
Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	76.0¢	0.2	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.48

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.0%

Win Consistency56.7%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity1,644 trades · 61 active days

P&L Calendar

$74620d profit41d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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