0x4d03025cbc55a00002Cc44a522bA2E1f9F6445d3-1762140980560

0x4d0302...6445d3
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
60.8%
Total P&L
-$5
Trade Count
228
Sharpe Ratio
-0.31
Sortino Ratio
-0.53
Max Drawdown
22154.0%
ROI
-2.3%
Profit Factor
-0.65
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?SELL87.0¢1.12Mar 5
SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY89.0¢1.124Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?SELL94.1¢1.06Mar 5
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?BUY94.3¢1.06Mar 5
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?SELL90.0¢1.08Feb 26
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?BUY92.0¢1.087Feb 26
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL85.0¢1.16Feb 22
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?BUY87.0¢1.149Feb 22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?SELL93.3¢1.07Feb 22
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?BUY93.4¢1.071Feb 22
Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 28?SELL95.0¢1.03Feb 17
Will Debi Tirar Mas Fotos by Bad Bunny be the Billboard 200 #1 album for the week of February 28?BUY97.0¢1.031Feb 17
Will SoundHound AI announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL18.0¢1.05Feb 17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?SELL94.4¢1.05Feb 17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?BUY94.5¢1.058Feb 17
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?SELL88.0¢1.11Feb 11
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY90.0¢1.111Feb 11
Will the US strike Somalia next?SELL98.8¢1.01Feb 10
Will the US strike Somalia next?BUY99.0¢1.01Feb 10
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?SELL86.0¢1.13Feb 8
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%30–50%18%50–70%14%70–80%14%80–90%45%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency41.8%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity228 trades · 56 active days
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P&L Calendar
$127d profit47d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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