0x4fc88d...34d2fe

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-2.66

Sortino Ratio

-2.14

Max Drawdown

3237.1%

ROI

2.9%

Profit Factor

6.33

Kelly Fraction

0.590

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	SELL	88.0¢	4.4	Mar 5
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	89.0¢	3.371	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	91.0¢	3.297	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	91.0¢	3.297	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	91.0¢	3.297	Mar 4
Iran coup attempt by June 30?	BUY	67.0¢	5.97	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	71.0¢	0.43	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	70.0¢	0.32	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	70.0¢	4.88	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.0¢	5.634	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	SELL	89.0¢	5.26	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	82.0¢	6.24	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	76.0¢	3.18	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	70.0¢	5.714	Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?	BUY	91.0¢	4.396	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	0.62	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	0.47	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	0.05	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	71.0¢	0.55	Mar 3
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	73.0¢	0.07	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%

Win Consistency50.0%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue