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0x5022fBA1F68800f8084c1b9F84Bff65CBF08AD19-1729054384974

0x5022fb...08ad19
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
64.2%
Total P&L
+$32
Trade Count
444
Sharpe Ratio
0.10
Sortino Ratio
0.35
Max Drawdown
584.4%
ROI
1.0%
Profit Factor
3.28
Kelly Fraction
0.446
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢7.15Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ETBUY99.0¢17.172Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL95.9¢5.2Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL83.0¢9.41Mar 4
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.0¢5.208Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ETBUY97.9¢9.193Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL58.1¢8.6Mar 4
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY58.3¢8.576Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?SELL68.0¢7.36Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢10.34Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢10.331Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ETBUY99.7¢5.015Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL97.7¢7.16Mar 4
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?BUY68.0¢7.353Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)BUY97.0¢8.247Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL96.7¢5.16Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY96.8¢5.165Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY85.0¢9.412Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.8¢8.17Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY97.9¢8.172Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%16%50–70%8%70–80%8%80–90%65%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%
Win Consistency52.3%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity444 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$49810d profit27d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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