0x505e12...ac1c76

Smart Score

Win Rate

34.1%

Total P&L

-$114

Trade Count

181

Sharpe Ratio

0.91

Sortino Ratio

19.75

Max Drawdown

240.4%

ROI

-19.2%

Profit Factor

0.48

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	SELL	36.0¢	4.86	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	SELL	35.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?	BUY	36.0¢	4.861	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	31.0¢	18	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	SELL	38.0¢	10.89	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	34.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	BUY	28.3¢	10.897	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?	SELL	4.2¢	15.25	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 5?	SELL	15.0¢	11.47	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on March 5?	BUY	10.6¢	15.258	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	SELL	32.0¢	5.55	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 5?	BUY	17.0¢	11.471	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?	BUY	27.0¢	5.556	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	26.9¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?	SELL	6.3¢	19.88	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 4?	BUY	9.0¢	19.882	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	22.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?	SELL	31.0¢	4.61	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 4?	BUY	26.0¢	4.615	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 4?	SELL	29.0¢	7.3	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.46

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)7.5%

Win Consistency45.5%

Profit Factor0.22

Drawdown Resilience0.17

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.17

Weekly Sharpe est.0.13

Trading Activity181 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$3331d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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