0x50aadc...4f41e6

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.3%

Total P&L

+$55

Trade Count

121

Sharpe Ratio

-1.16

Sortino Ratio

-0.98

Max Drawdown

1036.9%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

1.40

Kelly Fraction

0.257

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

013.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	SELL	99.1¢	122.48	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	BUY	94.0¢	122.489	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	116.41	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	97.0¢	116.412	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	113.87	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	97.5¢	113.877	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	SELL	99.4¢	112.03	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	96.4¢	112.033	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?	SELL	49.2¢	220.91	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?	BUY	93.7¢	220.918	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?	SELL	99.6¢	209.61	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?	BUY	97.8¢	209.611	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 25?	SELL	99.0¢	209.34	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 25?	BUY	98.4¢	209.35	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 25?	SELL	99.4¢	208.43	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 25?	BUY	98.4¢	208.433	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	SELL	97.7¢	210.56	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	BUY	96.9¢	210.568	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	205.263	Feb 21
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	197.36	Feb 21

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing13.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.74

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)12.3%

Win Consistency53.2%

Profit Factor0.35

Drawdown Resilience0.28

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.28

Weekly Sharpe est.0.22

Trading Activity121 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$29314d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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