0x5168F6F6C75749596246fe2584e9F1c8ce824697-1770957451327

0x5168f6...824697

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.0%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

209

Sharpe Ratio

-0.59

Sortino Ratio

-0.64

Max Drawdown

4531.8%

ROI

-0.3%

Profit Factor

0.77

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

04.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	11.29	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	10.21	Mar 5
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.7¢	7.551	Mar 5
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	10.214	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	52.0¢	15.68	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	15.686	Mar 4
Spread: CA Lanús (-2.5)	BUY	96.6¢	10.352	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.0¢	3.22	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.0¢	2.127	Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	BUY	97.0¢	10.309	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.4¢	5.353	Mar 4
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-2.5)	BUY	95.0¢	10.526	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	91.6¢	7.63	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	93.5¢	5.34	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	91.7¢	7.634	Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	93.6¢	5.342	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.2¢	6.23	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.3¢	6.231	Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.0¢	0.01	Mar 3
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.0¢	5.319	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing4.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.0%

Win Consistency42.7%

Profit Factor0.11

Drawdown Resilience0.09

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.09

Weekly Sharpe est.0.07

Trading Activity209 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$3462d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue