0x516F1cBCA5DcD406F15428Ed2C2484402eD7FF40-1768716289609

0x516f1c...d7ff40

Smart Score

Win Rate

11.4%

Total P&L

-$86

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-3.56

Sortino Ratio

-8.31

Max Drawdown

299776.2%

ROI

-54.9%

Profit Factor

0.03

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	111.11	Mar 5
GPT-5.4 released by March 5?	BUY	15.0¢	43.8	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	SELL	0.8¢	222.22	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?	BUY	1.8¢	111.111	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 6, 2026?	BUY	0.9¢	222.222	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 5, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	1,000	Mar 4
US strikes Iraq by February 28?	BUY	0.1¢	4,000	Mar 4
Will Hillary say "Island" during her Epstein testimony?	BUY	1.6¢	511.373	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	8.07	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	8.071	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.6¢	371.667	Mar 3
Will MrBeast say "Thousand" or "Million" 10+ times during his next YouTube video?	BUY	1.4¢	624.19	Feb 22
Will an Individual Neutral Athlete record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	SELL	0.3¢	71.32	Feb 21
Will Denmark record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	0.6¢	2,183.333	Feb 21
Will an Individual Neutral Athlete record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?	BUY	1.4¢	71.324	Feb 21
Will the DHS shutdown last 5 days or more?	BUY	0.4¢	760	Feb 16
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	SELL	7.0¢	42	Feb 16
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	11.0¢	42	Feb 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency5.7%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity61 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$880d profit10d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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