0x5264c0...8954ce

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.8%

Total P&L

-$1.5K

Trade Count

1,570

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Sortino Ratio

0.96

Max Drawdown

82962.8%

ROI

-1.5%

Profit Factor

0.90

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

011.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	BUY	87.0¢	57.492	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	BUY	97.0¢	38.52	Mar 4
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	9.804	Mar 2
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?	BUY	51.0¢	9.804	Mar 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	88.3¢	5.37	Feb 28
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	62.0¢	6.52	Feb 28
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	SELL	64.0¢	1.48	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	BUY	38.0¢	13.158	Feb 28
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?	SELL	1.0¢	11.42	Feb 27
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	SELL	0.7¢	22.06	Feb 27
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?	SELL	67.0¢	8.33	Feb 27
Will Railbird self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?	BUY	69.7¢	7.178	Feb 27
Databricks IPO before 2027?	BUY	63.0¢	7.937	Feb 27
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	BUY	69.0¢	7.246	Feb 26
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	BUY	69.0¢	7.246	Feb 26
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 27, 2026?	BUY	60.0¢	8.333	Feb 26
Will Pete Hegseth ban Claude by March 31?	BUY	66.0¢	7.576	Feb 26
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	43.9¢	11.26	Feb 26
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by March 31, 2026?	BUY	57.2¢	8.74	Feb 26
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?	SELL	63.0¢	5.92	Feb 25

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing11.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.61

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)10.1%

Win Consistency32.0%

Profit Factor0.29

Drawdown Resilience0.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.18

Trading Activity1,570 trades · 28 active days

P&L Calendar

$43,7821d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue