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0x52cf551164dA2E63a9d864c9473EE7FEfBA15090-1730889744781

0x52cf55...a15090
Smart Score
50
Win Rate
43.9%
Total P&L
+$2.9K
Trade Count
3,586
Sharpe Ratio
0.71
Sortino Ratio
9.30
Max Drawdown
55.5%
ROI
14.5%
Profit Factor
1.43
Kelly Fraction
0.133
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
049.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 6?BUY13.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on March 6?BUY24.0¢8Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on March 6?BUY13.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?BUY18.0¢11.11Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 3?SELL99.9¢16.66Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 3?BUY9.1¢16.38Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 3?BUY9.1¢5.501Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 0°C on March 3?BUY4.0¢25Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 3?BUY13.0¢23.07Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 3?BUY9.1¢0.08Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 3?BUY4.0¢25Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on March 3?BUY8.0¢25Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 3?SELL72.0¢27.02Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 3?BUY74.0¢27.02Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 3?BUY89.0¢16.85Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 3?BUY71.0¢28.16Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?SELL67.0¢8Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on March 2?BUY71.0¢8Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 3?BUY60.0¢16.66Mar 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:15AM-6:30AM ETBUY2.0¢5Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%6%< 10%8%10–20%7%20–30%50%30–50%21%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing49.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.4%
Win Consistency76.2%
Profit Factor1.30
Drawdown Resilience1.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.80
Trading Activity3,586 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$11,9181d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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