0x53b7b2...7909c0

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.3%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.16

Sortino Ratio

-0.72

Max Drawdown

2845.3%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

4.03

Kelly Fraction

0.627

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	22	Mar 5
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	0.1¢	500	Mar 2
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	0.2¢	500	Mar 2
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?	BUY	97.9¢	39	Feb 28
Will the US next strike Iran on February 24, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	31	Feb 25
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	26	Feb 2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 1, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	31.2	Feb 2
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.5¢	25.33	Feb 2
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.6¢	29.67	Feb 2
Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	27.55	Jan 30
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	27.66	Jan 30
U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by January 31?	BUY	99.9¢	29.88	Jan 30
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?	SELL	99.6¢	27.15	Jan 30
Will the US next strike Iran on January 26, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	99.9¢	57	Jan 27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of January 19 above $155?	BUY	99.9¢	56	Jan 23
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	SELL	97.2¢	31.25	Jan 16
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	27.508	Jan 15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on January 14?	BUY	99.8¢	27.485	Jan 14
Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?	BUY	99.4¢	26.861	Jan 14
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.6¢	31.25	Jan 14

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.44

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.8%

Win Consistency61.1%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity21 trades · 10 active days

P&L Calendar

$4821d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics