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0x54f8BF69ac2820034F904aBF59E9A16fed481f57-1766437907484

0x54f8bf...481f57
Smart Score
32
Win Rate
44.0%
Total P&L
+$369
Trade Count
252
Sharpe Ratio
0.88
Sortino Ratio
31.30
Max Drawdown
1446.5%
ROI
2.4%
Profit Factor
1.54
Kelly Fraction
0.155
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
031.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?BUY11.2¢17.798Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?BUY0.3¢333.333Mar 5
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL18.0¢18.29Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL89.0¢99.98Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL75.3¢337.41Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY83.0¢52.92Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY83.0¢29.412Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY83.0¢11.765Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY83.0¢5.882Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL8.0¢70Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL8.0¢19Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL8.0¢11Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY21.0¢70Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY21.0¢30Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL70.0¢113.64Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?SELL70.0¢29.217Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?BUY70.0¢142.857Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL97.3¢3.65Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?SELL97.3¢246.73Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ETBUY25.9¢38.569Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%15%< 10%11%10–20%15%20–30%27%30–50%13%50–70%9%70–80%6%80–90%4%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing31.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.74
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)28.8%
Win Consistency52.9%
Profit Factor0.82
Drawdown Resilience0.67
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67
Weekly Sharpe est.0.51
Trading Activity252 trades · 32 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,2245d profit26d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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