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0x565ee1...7b629f

0x565ee1...7b629f
Smart Score
49
Win Rate
44.4%
Total P&L
+$8
Trade Count
24
Sharpe Ratio
1.70
Sortino Ratio
6.48
Max Drawdown
75.3%
ROI
5.5%
Profit Factor
1.97
Kelly Fraction
0.219
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
048.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY39.5¢12.658Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY40.1¢12.469Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL99.8¢21.59Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY82.5¢10.909Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL71.1¢12.06Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY72.4¢6.906Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY77.6¢5.155Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?SELL75.7¢11.79Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY76.3¢11.796Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY56.2¢10.683Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL99.9¢6.84Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL99.9¢7.95Mar 3
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?SELL48.0¢1.69Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY73.0¢6.849Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL97.7¢4.55Mar 3
Will the total number of TSA passengers for March 4 be between 2,200,000 and 2,400,000?BUY59.0¢1.695Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY87.8¢4.556Mar 2
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL58.9¢7.02Mar 2
Will Donald Trump post 140-159 Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY42.7¢7.026Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?SELL31.6¢9.11Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%43%30–50%14%50–70%29%70–80%14%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing48.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.68
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)44.3%
Win Consistency60.0%
Profit Factor1.27
Drawdown Resilience1.02
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.02
Weekly Sharpe est.0.78
Trading Activity24 trades · 5 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$82d profit3d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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