0x572cf4...7b4360

Smart Score

Win Rate

75.0%

Total P&L

+$59

Trade Count

956

Sharpe Ratio

0.15

Sortino Ratio

0.20

Max Drawdown

502.1%

ROI

4.3%

Profit Factor

2.49

Kelly Fraction

0.448

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	72.1¢	1.401	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	87.0¢	1.161	Mar 5
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	94.5¢	4.43	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.9¢	1.076	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	94.2¢	6.826	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	94.3¢	3.89	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	13.0¢	6.53	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	15.0¢	6.733	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	72.2¢	1.35	Mar 4
Will any E.U. country strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	80.0¢	1.263	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.8¢	1.077	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.4¢	1.081	Mar 4
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	93.5¢	1.08	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	72.3¢	1.397	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.1¢	1.421	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	1.55	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	83.9¢	1.64	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	70.6¢	2.46	Mar 4
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	88.1¢	1.146	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	74.5¢	1.356	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.6%

Win Consistency65.3%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity956 trades · 16 active days

P&L Calendar

$2763d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue