0x57eA6eaCEae21a8a19372D716F74DBbf20e7E9e7-1768492774760

0x57ea6e...e7e9e7

Smart Score

Win Rate

51.0%

Total P&L

+$11.0K

Trade Count

586

Sharpe Ratio

0.55

Sortino Ratio

7.00

Max Drawdown

57.7%

ROI

135.2%

Profit Factor

13.33

Kelly Fraction

0.471

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

068.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?	BUY	58.0¢	34.483	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	SELL	78.0¢	26.36	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	68.0¢	102.941	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	4.0¢	144.01	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	4.0¢	1	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	4.0¢	38	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	4.0¢	16.99	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	83.7¢	68.47	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?	SELL	82.0¢	25.9	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	59.0¢	4.102	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	87.0¢	45.977	Mar 5
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	BUY	3.5¢	287.114	Mar 5
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 10, 2026?	SELL	95.5¢	52.1	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	73.0¢	68.472	Mar 5
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?	BUY	38.0¢	26.316	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	SELL	99.9¢	21.28	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	BUY	55.0¢	18.182	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?	BUY	66.0¢	15.152	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 9?	BUY	63.0¢	15.873	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?	BUY	63.0¢	9.524	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active68.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.79

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)62.7%

Win Consistency46.9%

Profit Factor1.79

Drawdown Resilience1.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.45

Weekly Sharpe est.1.10

Trading Activity586 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$96814d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue