0x57fe38...78a0fa

Smart Score

Win Rate

79.2%

Total P&L

+$85

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.73

Sortino Ratio

-0.77

Max Drawdown

1228.8%

ROI

3.8%

Profit Factor

14.39

Kelly Fraction

0.737

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	SELL	99.1¢	57.94	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	BUY	86.0¢	58.155	Mar 5
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?	SELL	84.0¢	317.13	Mar 5
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?	BUY	83.0¢	69.61	Feb 27
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	77.0¢	75	Feb 27
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?	BUY	74.3¢	78.467	Feb 26
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	SELL	62.0¢	93.75	Feb 26
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	80.0¢	75	Feb 26
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?	BUY	64.0¢	93.75	Feb 26
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?	SELL	94.0¢	127.84	Feb 26
Will the DHS shutdown last 21 days or more?	BUY	93.0¢	62.054	Feb 25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	64.1¢	89.7	Feb 25
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?	BUY	69.0¢	73.913	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	SELL	74.0¢	68.49	Feb 25
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	68.0¢	89.706	Feb 23
US strikes Iran by December 31, 2026?	BUY	73.0¢	68.493	Feb 23
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	82.0¢	65.78	Feb 23
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?	SELL	79.0¢	72.46	Feb 23
Will the DHS shutdown last 30 days or more?	BUY	53.6¢	95.148	Feb 23
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	86.0¢	29.54	Feb 23

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.66

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.4%

Win Consistency52.0%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity58 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

+$854d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue