0x595ab8...5bbca8

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.0%

Total P&L

+$514

Trade Count

262

Sharpe Ratio

0.83

Sortino Ratio

1.68

Max Drawdown

360.1%

ROI

8.2%

Profit Factor

1.49

Kelly Fraction

0.191

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	72.7¢	42.091	Mar 5
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?	SELL	68.0¢	89.96	Mar 5
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?	BUY	78.1¢	46.646	Mar 5
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?	SELL	92.0¢	39.99	Mar 5
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	91.9¢	33.112	Mar 5
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?	SELL	71.0¢	16.85	Mar 4
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?	SELL	71.5¢	26.2	Mar 4
US/Israel strike Yemen by March 7?	BUY	65.0¢	20.738	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.7¢	49.331	Mar 4
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?	SELL	84.0¢	29	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	68.8¢	21.802	Mar 3
Israeli parliament dissolved by March 31?	BUY	81.2¢	36.839	Mar 3
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	90.3¢	83.056	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	68.7¢	24.745	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	73.3¢	130	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	71.3¢	42.048	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	76.2¢	131.295	Mar 2
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	89.6¢	71.429	Mar 2
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	86.8¢	100.184	Mar 2
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the March decision?	SELL	62.0¢	51	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.36

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.5%

Win Consistency61.8%

Profit Factor0.64

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.40

Trading Activity262 trades · 46 active days

P&L Calendar

$5225d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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