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0x5a5ad61fbF75Bc09B0EA0910De4C36F53fb377E5-1771023674894

0x5a5ad6...b377e5
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
16.0%
Total P&L
+$452
Trade Count
517
Sharpe Ratio
1.03
Sortino Ratio
23.93
Max Drawdown
149.2%
ROI
24.4%
Profit Factor
2.02
Kelly Fraction
0.081
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
026.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 5?BUY15.9¢25.206Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?BUY3.0¢67.691Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on March 5?BUY0.3¢366.923Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C on March 5?BUY13.0¢23.077Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY17.0¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on March 5?BUY1.0¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on March 5?BUY14.0¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 5?BUY17.3¢46.131Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?SELL57.0¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?BUY1.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?BUY1.0¢4.07Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?BUY1.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?BUY1.0¢10.101Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on March 5?BUY1.0¢77Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on March 5?BUY4.2¢72.074Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on March 5?BUY0.6¢65.82Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C or below on March 5?BUY0.6¢23Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C or higher on March 5?SELL1.1¢36.66Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?SELL75.0¢2.04Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?SELL75.0¢9.99Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%59%< 10%22%10–20%14%20–30%4%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.9%
Win Consistency35.9%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity517 trades · 20 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$24411d profit9d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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