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0x5c3CC9325D99b063c3E67D08f95Fe35bC819Ea50-1769220803933

0x5c3cc9...19ea50
Smart Score
60
Win Rate
38.9%
Total P&L
+$1.6K
Trade Count
1,585
Sharpe Ratio
1.08
Sortino Ratio
98.32
Max Drawdown
49.5%
ROI
21.5%
Profit Factor
2.38
Kelly Fraction
0.225
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
060.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Communist Party of Nepal (UML) win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY0.4¢250Mar 5
Will Nepali Congress win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY12.0¢100Mar 5
Will Nepali Communist Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Will Loktantrik Samajwadi Party Nepal win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
Will Rastriya Janamorcha win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?BUY0.1¢1,000Mar 5
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?BUY2.1¢140.79Mar 5
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?BUY2.1¢59.21Mar 5
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?SELL3.7¢100Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?BUY16.2¢44.568Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?SELL14.8¢82.52Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?BUY16.7¢59.706Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?BUY24.2¢22.81Mar 5
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?BUY0.2¢500Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?BUY0.2¢500Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?SELL19.5¢149.99Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?SELL3.1¢144Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?SELL69.9¢100.03Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?BUY3.6¢100Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 5?SELL4.1¢56Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?SELL25.0¢37.97Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%13%< 10%6%10–20%5%20–30%56%30–50%17%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active60.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.31
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)54.7%
Win Consistency72.8%
Profit Factor1.56
Drawdown Resilience1.26
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.26
Weekly Sharpe est.0.96
Trading Activity1,585 trades · 6 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,1321d profit5d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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