0x5c8e3b...f90824

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.5%

Total P&L

+$3.1K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.01

Sortino Ratio

0.02

Max Drawdown

1750.0%

ROI

35.8%

Profit Factor

3.63

Kelly Fraction

0.475

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $104K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?	BUY	21.0¢	15	May 20
Will Trump say "White farmer" during events with South African President on May 21?	BUY	60.9¢	735	May 20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?	SELL	61.0¢	735	May 20
Will Manchester United win on 2025-05-21?	BUY	61.0¢	735	May 20
Will Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?	BUY	67.0¢	700	May 20
Will Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?	BUY	67.0¢	75	May 20
Will Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?	BUY	67.0¢	5	May 20
Will Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?	BUY	67.0¢	175	May 20
Will Trump say "Africa" 8+ times during events with South African President on May 21?	BUY	67.0¢	45	May 20
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on May 20 at 5 PM ET?	BUY	43.0¢	10	May 20
XRP Up or Down on May 20?	BUY	50.0¢	535	May 19
Fartcoin Up or Down on May 20?	BUY	50.0¢	1,150	May 19
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	BUY	50.0¢	5	May 19
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 20?	BUY	50.0¢	65	May 19
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?	BUY	55.0¢	5	May 19
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on May 19 at 5 PM ET?	BUY	55.0¢	1,120	May 19
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?	BUY	54.0¢	5	May 16
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?	BUY	54.0¢	45	May 16
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?	BUY	54.0¢	225	May 16
Will Ukraine finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 10?	BUY	54.0¢	150	May 16

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.8%

Win Consistency41.4%

Profit Factor0.71

Drawdown Resilience0.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity60 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$6,2830d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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