0x5cA16f5c3fE498A0aA8A39B5368E14e28F377fB1-1772815973223

0x1f6a61...d80187

Smart Score

Win Rate

33.3%

Total P&L

-$66

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.87

Sortino Ratio

49.16

Max Drawdown

655.6%

ROI

-20.0%

Profit Factor

0.40

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	83.0¢	4.19	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on March 5?	BUY	34.0¢	0.58	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	20.9¢	28.232	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	1.0¢	884	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	20.9¢	13.907	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	32.0¢	15.281	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 72°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	96.7¢	46.596	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 4?	BUY	0.6¢	204.919	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 48°F or higher on March 4?	BUY	24.0¢	15	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 3?	SELL	12.0¢	7.73	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 3?	BUY	13.0¢	10.462	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 3?	BUY	15.0¢	10.133	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 3?	SELL	99.7¢	4.22	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 3?	BUY	24.0¢	10.333	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 3?	BUY	93.0¢	4.226	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 3?	BUY	38.2¢	34.043	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?	BUY	37.3¢	15	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?	BUY	31.9¢	32.602	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 36-37°F on March 3?	BUY	39.0¢	18.154	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?	BUY	34.3¢	4.227	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.7%

Win Consistency37.5%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.22

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.22

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity55 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

$2190d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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