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0x5e340195C43aDe8590B9E3B5d8aA9DE94224D0D3-1770729174257

0x5e3401...24d0d3
Smart Score
65
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$60
Trade Count
219
Sharpe Ratio
1.31
Sortino Ratio
10.77
Max Drawdown
46.9%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
6.27
Kelly Fraction
0.420
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
065.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 6AM ETBUY99.6¢9.036Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢5.28Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.7¢5.28Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.5¢10.56Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 2AM ETBUY99.8¢9.018Mar 5
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.7¢10.56Mar 5
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL90.7¢8.79Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY91.0¢8.791Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL92.7¢9.71Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY92.8¢9.698Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL51.0¢15.68Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ETBUY99.0¢6.061Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY51.0¢15.686Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL94.4¢8.46Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY94.6¢8.457Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?SELL93.0¢8.6Mar 4
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?BUY93.0¢8.602Mar 4
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?SELL75.0¢0.14Mar 3
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?SELL99.6¢1.17Mar 3
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL97.7¢6.13Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%16%10–20%20–30%30–50%14%50–70%8%70–80%10%80–90%52%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active65.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.58
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)59.2%
Win Consistency50.9%
Profit Factor1.69
Drawdown Resilience1.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.37
Weekly Sharpe est.1.04
Trading Activity219 trades · 18 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$817d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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