0x5fDE5d71a04128CEABD0B815cB06C7f736258ebc-1765546829206

0x5fde5d...258ebc

Smart Score

Win Rate

98.6%

Total P&L

+$2

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.35

Sortino Ratio

-1.23

Max Drawdown

296950.0%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

74.63

Kelly Fraction

0.973

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	99.6¢	21.637	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?	BUY	99.9¢	10.91	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C or higher on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	10.891	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	10.882	Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?	BUY	99.9¢	10.86	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.85	Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?	BUY	99.9¢	10.84	Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?	BUY	99.9¢	10.831	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?	BUY	99.9¢	10.821	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on February 21?	BUY	98.0¢	10.806	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 39°F or below on February 21?	BUY	99.8¢	10.591	Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.571	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?	BUY	99.9¢	10.56	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in London be 9°C on February 20?	BUY	99.8¢	10.551	Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.53	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.52	Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.51	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 3°C on February 19?	BUY	99.9¢	10.5	Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.49	Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 4°C on February 18?	BUY	99.9¢	10.48	Feb 17

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.9%

Win Consistency15.1%

Profit Factor0.68

Drawdown Resilience0.55

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55

Weekly Sharpe est.0.42

Trading Activity73 trades · 47 active days

P&L Calendar

$7640d profit47d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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