0x6025d3B323Cf9fD99789f92629c9B258bD25e5f9-1769669992609

0x6025d3...25e5f9

Smart Score

Win Rate

83.3%

Total P&L

+$62

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.43

Sortino Ratio

-0.40

Max Drawdown

175873.1%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

4.12

Kelly Fraction

0.631

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?	BUY	75.0¢	26.667	Mar 5
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BUY	97.3¢	10.277	Mar 3
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	94.0¢	1,063.83	Mar 3
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	441.72	Mar 3
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	460.131	Mar 1
USD.AI FDV above $4B one day after launch?	BUY	99.9¢	15.015	Mar 1
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	60.19	Mar 1
Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	798.578	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	300.3	Feb 25
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	1,079.78	Feb 25
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	1,148.706	Feb 24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	16.0¢	12.5	Feb 24
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	BUY	97.8¢	15.337	Feb 24
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026?	BUY	99.7¢	120.361	Feb 24
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.8¢	1,284.83	Feb 24
Will the Utah Jazz win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.9¢	1,352.462	Feb 20
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	BUY	15.0¢	13.333	Feb 20
Will Marco Rubio be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	15.075	Feb 20
Backpack FDV above $4B one day after launch?	BUY	99.0¢	20.202	Feb 20
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	20.305	Feb 20

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.55

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.6%

Win Consistency47.2%

Profit Factor0.73

Drawdown Resilience0.59

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.59

Weekly Sharpe est.0.45

Trading Activity55 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,2110d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue