0x617aA7a88a5B628d2D4F4fE06a6b02318Ee9Ed1e-1769914761668

0x617aa7...e9ed1e

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.7%

Total P&L

+$1

Trade Count

348

Sharpe Ratio

0.50

Sortino Ratio

7.98

Max Drawdown

2765.7%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.03

Kelly Fraction

0.018

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.0¢	6.122	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	96.5¢	7.25	Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	SELL	94.6¢	8.24	Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	96.6¢	7.246	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	7.071	Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	BUY	97.0¢	8.247	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	SELL	76.0¢	7.21	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	97.0¢	7.216	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	92.7¢	5.38	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.9¢	5.382	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	7.021	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.3¢	8.21	Mar 4
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.4¢	8.214	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	11.76	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	SELL	99.8¢	9.01	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	9.018	Mar 4
Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)	BUY	97.0¢	9.278	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	11.765	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	6.19	Mar 4
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	96.8¢	6.198	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.25

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.8%

Win Consistency40.5%

Profit Factor0.59

Drawdown Resilience0.48

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.48

Weekly Sharpe est.0.36

Trading Activity348 trades · 32 active days

P&L Calendar

$4395d profit27d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue