0x627EF0c3834dE6Db9AdA8A1CBad30cfadD965B62-1765548786082

0x627ef0...965b62
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
100.0%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
65
Sharpe Ratio
-1.33
Sortino Ratio
-1.16
Max Drawdown
108452.0%
ROI
0.2%
Profit Factor
10.00
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
017.6/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 5?BUY99.9¢21.101Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on March 3?BUY99.9¢10.38Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.37Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.36Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.35Feb 27
Will AAVE be accused of insider trading?BUY99.9¢10.34Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 22-23°F on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.33Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.32Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.31Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 38-39°F on February 20?BUY99.5¢10.302Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 25°C or below on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.25Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 6°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.24Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.23Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 3°C or below on February 18?BUY99.8¢10.21Feb 17
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 2°C on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.19Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C or below on February 17?BUY99.9¢10.18Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on February 16?BUY99.8¢10.17Feb 16
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 1°C on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.15Feb 15
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or higher on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.14Feb 15
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 15?BUY99.9¢10.13Feb 15
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.97
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.0%
Win Consistency26.2%
Profit Factor0.46
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity65 trades · 45 active days
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P&L Calendar
$6750d profit45d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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