0x62b63f...965977

Smart Score

Win Rate

87.1%

Total P&L

-$1.3K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-3.41

Sortino Ratio

-6.48

Max Drawdown

0.0%

ROI

-2.6%

Profit Factor

0.47

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	BUY	19.0¢	49.63	Mar 5
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	BUY	16.8¢	56	Mar 5
Will Hezbollah disarm by March 31?	BUY	8.4¢	77.05	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	14.9¢	94.62	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 11PM ET	BUY	98.0¢	101.02	Nov 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 10PM ET	BUY	87.0¢	113.793	Nov 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 21, 5AM ET	BUY	92.0¢	107.609	Nov 21
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 8AM ET	BUY	74.1¢	133.673	Nov 20
XRP Up or Down - November 20, 7AM ET	BUY	96.5¢	102.561	Nov 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 5AM ET	BUY	94.0¢	105.319	Nov 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 20, 4AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	100	Nov 20
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8PM ET	BUY	97.9¢	101.173	Nov 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7PM ET	BUY	99.7¢	99.298	Nov 4
XRP Up or Down - November 4, 6AM ET	BUY	96.4¢	102.732	Nov 4
Solana Up or Down - November 2, 6AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	99.198	Nov 2
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 5AM ET	BUY	97.0¢	102.062	Nov 2
XRP Up or Down - November 2, 12AM ET	BUY	99.9¢	99.099	Nov 2
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11PM ET	BUY	93.8¢	105.532	Nov 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10PM ET	BUY	81.7¢	121.146	Nov 1
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 9PM ET	BUY	61.0¢	162.295	Nov 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.86

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.3%

Win Consistency11.4%

Profit Factor0.41

Drawdown Resilience0.33

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.33

Weekly Sharpe est.0.25

Trading Activity74 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$43,2590d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue