0x62b78485EBaC26982e76c6E181E2Fc417C121fA4-1770103913059

0x62b784...121fa4

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.3%

Total P&L

+$4

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.68

Sortino Ratio

87.60

Max Drawdown

310.6%

ROI

3.5%

Profit Factor

1.13

Kelly Fraction

0.036

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

023.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 6?	BUY	41.3¢	2.421	Mar 5
Hornets vs. Celtics	SELL	99.9¢	3.22	Mar 4
Thunder vs. Knicks	SELL	99.9¢	3.27	Mar 4
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during tech signing event on Wednesday?	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 4
Hornets vs. Celtics	BUY	31.0¢	3.226	Mar 4
Thunder vs. Knicks	BUY	61.0¢	3.279	Mar 4
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	SELL	45.0¢	2.85	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?	BUY	38.0¢	2.632	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?	BUY	4.9¢	20.408	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	66.4¢	4.518	Mar 3
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	18.6¢	5.376	Mar 3
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?	SELL	6.2¢	16.66	Mar 2
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	BUY	44.0¢	2.273	Mar 1
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	7.4¢	16.66	Mar 1
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	12.8¢	7.813	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?	SELL	21.7¢	13.16	Feb 28
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets	SELL	99.9¢	6.84	Feb 28
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets	BUY	73.0¢	6.849	Feb 28
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing23.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.31

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)21.7%

Win Consistency38.8%

Profit Factor0.62

Drawdown Resilience0.50

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.50

Weekly Sharpe est.0.38

Trading Activity82 trades · 17 active days

P&L Calendar

$445d profit12d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue