0x633fdd77ddf73aEdd42e5AF1eB4104fdc5243c8A-1730986921208

0x633fdd...243c8a

Smart Score

Win Rate

30.7%

Total P&L

+$8.4K

Trade Count

621

Sharpe Ratio

0.08

Sortino Ratio

0.72

Max Drawdown

263.5%

ROI

21.8%

Profit Factor

2.38

Kelly Fraction

0.178

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	BUY	54.0¢	185.185	Nov 24
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations in 2025?	SELL	97.6¢	102.16	Nov 24
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?	SELL	99.5¢	56.33	Nov 24
Will Elon Musk buy OpenAI in 2025?	SELL	99.0¢	21.73	Nov 24
Will Elon and DOGE cut 100-150k employees in 2025?	BUY	20.1¢	248.365	Nov 24
Will Elon and DOGE cut 150-200k employees in 2025?	BUY	46.5¢	103.191	Nov 24
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	27.0¢	400	Nov 24
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	BUY	34.0¢	49.882	Nov 21
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	BUY	6.5¢	15.278	Nov 21
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?	SELL	65.0¢	12.25	Nov 21
AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	BUY	21.0¢	238.095	Nov 21
AI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?	BUY	7.3¢	119.227	Nov 21
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Saudi PM events on November 18?	BUY	26.0¢	3.846	Nov 18
Will Trump say none of the listed terms during Saudi PM events on November 18?	BUY	38.0¢	13.158	Nov 18
Will Trump say "Erdogan" first during Saudi PM events on November 18?	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Nov 18
U.S. agrees to give Saudi Arabia security guarantee by November 30?	BUY	73.0¢	27.397	Nov 18
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?	BUY	18.0¢	111.111	Nov 18
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 22?	BUY	14.0¢	29.571	Nov 16
ATP World Tour Finals, Final Stage: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner	BUY	1.0¢	100	Nov 16
Maduro out by March 31, 2026?	BUY	65.0¢	307.692	Nov 14

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.2%

Win Consistency38.3%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity577 trades · 77 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,72616d profit60d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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