0x639645...3baff3

0x639645...3baff3
Smart Score
71
Win Rate
58.3%
Total P&L
+$110.3K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
1.15
Sortino Ratio
68.86
Max Drawdown
71.4%
ROI
896.2%
Profit Factor
143.50
Kelly Fraction
0.578
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
070.9/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 5?BUY99.6¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?BUY17.0¢6Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY92.0¢8.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY95.1¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY97.9¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 13°C or higher on March 5?BUY84.3¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 4?SELL99.9¢35Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C or below on March 5?BUY99.5¢24Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -1°C on March 5?BUY99.2¢13.75Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY98.8¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 6?BUY98.1¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY98.3¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 4?BUY99.9¢30Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 6?BUY96.1¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 5?BUY98.6¢25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 5?BUY98.9¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on March 5?BUY98.3¢8Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 6?BUY98.4¢5.1Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on March 5?BUY97.6¢25Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 5?BUY95.3¢20Mar 4
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%26%< 10%9%10–20%7%20–30%6%30–50%8%50–70%7%70–80%8%80–90%29%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Active70.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.90
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)64.5%
Win Consistency48.5%
Profit Factor1.84
Drawdown Resilience1.49
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.49
Weekly Sharpe est.1.13
Trading Activity1,000 trades · 14 active days
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P&L Calendar
$7,2064d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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