0x66248c...f85a93

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.2%

Total P&L

-$122

Trade Count

947

Sharpe Ratio

-0.69

Sortino Ratio

-0.80

Max Drawdown

13923.8%

ROI

-5.0%

Profit Factor

0.54

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	1.744	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	97.0¢	1.546	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	85.3¢	14.22	Mar 5
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	94.6¢	1.55	Mar 5
Will Germany strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	94.8¢	0.09	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	BUY	86.0¢	1.744	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	85.5¢	1.87	Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.8¢	1.79	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.8¢	3.58	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.9¢	3.576	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.9¢	3.576	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.9¢	1.788	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	83.9¢	1.788	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	79.0¢	1.899	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	1.667	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	1.667	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	BUY	90.0¢	1.667	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 5?	BUY	80.0¢	1.875	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	BUY	93.0¢	1.613	Mar 4
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	78.2¢	1.918	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.17

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)2.8%

Win Consistency44.7%

Profit Factor0.08

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity947 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$7430d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue