0x66a17b...423de8

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.4%

Total P&L

+$625

Trade Count

1,000

Sharpe Ratio

4.11

Sortino Ratio

32.51

Max Drawdown

52.1%

ROI

53.2%

Profit Factor

2.82

Kelly Fraction

0.410

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

074.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 6?	BUY	32.0¢	9.13	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	SELL	2.0¢	42.2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	SELL	37.0¢	2.66	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	1.4¢	214.28	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?	BUY	1.5¢	200	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on March 5?	BUY	35.0¢	1.694	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	SELL	5.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	SELL	5.0¢	18.64	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	SELL	5.0¢	2.59	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 5?	SELL	10.0¢	12.47	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	SELL	5.0¢	6.57	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	SELL	37.0¢	2.703	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 5?	BUY	4.0¢	75	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 5?	SELL	34.0¢	6.43	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	SELL	27.0¢	0.507	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	SELL	27.0¢	1.33	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	SELL	27.0¢	4.074	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 5?	SELL	27.0¢	4.074	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?	SELL	43.0¢	7.58	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 5?	SELL	43.0¢	0.52	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Active74.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)68.1%

Win Consistency64.5%

Profit Factor1.94

Drawdown Resilience1.57

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.57

Weekly Sharpe est.1.20

Trading Activity1,000 trades · 4 active days

P&L Calendar

+$973d profit1d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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