0x682b5D5C7DD24c541DbEE9b7Db918f6d8bd259d8-1763576762681

0x682b5d...d259d8

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.0%

Total P&L

+$30.6K

Trade Count

730

Sharpe Ratio

-0.33

Sortino Ratio

-1.22

Max Drawdown

52.0%

ROI

28.5%

Profit Factor

5.56

Kelly Fraction

0.205

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	57.0¢	818.98	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	57.0¢	29.209	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	57.0¢	72.093	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?	BUY	57.0¢	735	Mar 3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	14.0¢	398	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	25.0¢	257.49	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	25.0¢	4,000	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	25.0¢	28.84	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	25.0¢	6.667	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	25.0¢	7	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	25.0¢	200	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	25.0¢	500	Mar 2
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	6.0¢	5,000	Mar 2
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	25.1¢	1,774.45	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	25.1¢	144.284	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	25.1¢	81.255	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	BUY	24.1¢	2,000	Mar 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	8.8¢	1,460.78	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	8.8¢	200	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	8.8¢	811.932	Feb 28

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.3%

Win Consistency29.0%

Profit Factor1.18

Drawdown Resilience0.95

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.95

Weekly Sharpe est.0.73

Trading Activity730 trades · 31 active days

P&L Calendar

+$16,8597d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue