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0x69e4f0...0e2101

0x69e4f0...0e2101
Smart Score
14
Win Rate
40.5%
Total P&L
-$123
Trade Count
171
Sharpe Ratio
0.42
Sortino Ratio
2.03
Max Drawdown
4004.9%
ROI
-4.4%
Profit Factor
0.71
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
014.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY27.0¢7Mar 5
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY28.0¢136Mar 5
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY27.0¢5Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-04 House seat?SELL91.0¢112Mar 4
Will the Democratic Party win the UT-04 House seat?BUY92.0¢112Mar 3
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL20.0¢179Mar 3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY29.0¢5Mar 3
Blue tsunami in 2026?SELL31.0¢12Mar 2
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?SELL49.0¢10Mar 1
Blue tsunami in 2026?BUY32.0¢34Feb 28
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL22.1¢45Feb 27
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL23.0¢5Feb 27
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL3.2¢48Feb 26
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL3.3¢33Feb 26
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL16.0¢13Feb 25
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL2.9¢28Feb 25
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL2.9¢23Feb 25
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY46.0¢67Feb 25
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL3.0¢24Feb 25
Will Wesley Hunt come in 3rd in the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?SELL3.0¢15Feb 25

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%15%10–20%18%20–30%21%30–50%22%50–70%11%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing14.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.79
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.1%
Win Consistency44.2%
Profit Factor0.37
Drawdown Resilience0.30
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.30
Weekly Sharpe est.0.23
Trading Activity171 trades · 39 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$64715d profit24d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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