0x69fb5cc7a2979B5deea6e831345c4EC6757A3756-1769531701941

0x69fb5c...7a3756

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.2%

Total P&L

-$31

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.53

Sortino Ratio

1.43

Max Drawdown

1228.0%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

0.95

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

015/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will another country strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	25.2¢	19.802	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	26.0¢	19.231	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	17.5¢	28.571	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?	SELL	85.0¢	60.92	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	18.0¢	145.944	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	SELL	58.0¢	45.3	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	41.222	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?	SELL	57.0¢	21.73	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	SELL	96.6¢	21.73	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	76.0¢	13.697	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	13.0¢	38.462	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	13.0¢	23.077	Mar 4
Will Israel or the US target Fordow nuclear facility?	SELL	59.4¢	31	Mar 4
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	BUY	61.7¢	45.306	Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?	SELL	2.1¢	50	Mar 4
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 4?	BUY	2.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 4?	BUY	23.0¢	21.739	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 8?	BUY	46.0¢	21.739	Mar 4
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?	SELL	22.0¢	66.66	Mar 4
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 2 above $190?	BUY	9.0¢	22.222	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing15

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.82

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)13.7%

Win Consistency53.8%

Profit Factor0.39

Drawdown Resilience0.32

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.32

Weekly Sharpe est.0.24

Trading Activity77 trades · 8 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0561d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue