0x6A404F060Ab084322C2a209FB3d4EB328055599E-1763787093689

0x6a404f...55599e

Smart Score

Win Rate

10.1%

Total P&L

+$21

Trade Count

3,657

Sharpe Ratio

0.10

Sortino Ratio

0.81

Max Drawdown

1811.9%

ROI

0.3%

Profit Factor

1.08

Kelly Fraction

0.007

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	34.5¢	18.48	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	2.2¢	46.017	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	3.5¢	28.924	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	4.7¢	21.277	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	3.4¢	29.412	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	BUY	3.8¢	26.316	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	3.7¢	27.027	Mar 4
Will Azerbaijan win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	0.9¢	105.61	Mar 4
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	0.6¢	166.667	Mar 4
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	0.5¢	200	Mar 4
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-03-04?	BUY	19.0¢	5.263	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	3.5¢	14	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	29.6¢	3.378	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	33.333	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	10.2¢	9.804	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	7.0¢	14.286	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	6.0¢	33.333	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	BUY	14.3¢	13.986	Mar 4
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	0.5¢	200	Mar 4
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	BUY	0.5¢	189.672	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.6%

Win Consistency23.7%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity3,657 trades · 91 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,5339d profit81d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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