0x6A932212BFba0Edbe1198913416a869b532f8dFf-1765546625286

0x6a9322...2f8dff
Smart Score
26
Win Rate
98.6%
Total P&L
+$2
Trade Count
73
Sharpe Ratio
-1.29
Sortino Ratio
-1.19
Max Drawdown
183827.9%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
91.18
Kelly Fraction
0.976
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
026.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY99.6¢22.028Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on March 4?BUY99.9¢10.691Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on March 3?BUY99.9¢10.68Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on March 3?BUY99.9¢10.67Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY99.8¢10.651Mar 2
Zhang Youxia seen in public by February 28?BUY99.9¢10.63Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?BUY99.9¢10.62Feb 27
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 40-41°F on February 27?BUY99.9¢10.61Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 22°C or higher on February 26?BUY99.9¢10.601Feb 26
Will Jensen Huang attend the 2026 State of the Union address?BUY99.9¢10.591Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 47°F or below on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.58Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on February 22?BUY99.9¢10.57Feb 21
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C or below on February 21?BUY99.9¢10.561Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.55Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 8°C on February 20?BUY99.9¢10.54Feb 20
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.53Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 5°C on February 19?BUY99.9¢10.521Feb 19
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.51Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.5Feb 18
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -3°C on February 18?BUY99.9¢10.49Feb 17
Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%100%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing26.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.45
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.9%
Win Consistency15.1%
Profit Factor0.68
Drawdown Resilience0.55
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.55
Weekly Sharpe est.0.42
Trading Activity73 trades · 45 active days
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P&L Calendar
$7640d profit45d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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