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0x6aec67...d927d0

0x6aec67...d927d0
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
43.6%
Total P&L
+$23
Trade Count
217
Sharpe Ratio
1.45
Sortino Ratio
9.00
Max Drawdown
118.3%
ROI
6.5%
Profit Factor
2.67
Kelly Fraction
0.273
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY2.2¢45.909Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL2.6¢14.12Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL3.0¢31.55Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL3.0¢34.13Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?SELL3.3¢54.88Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY2.7¢37.407Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY3.0¢33.548Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY3.0¢33.667Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY3.1¢32.5Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.7¢1.422Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL83.6¢1.03Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL83.1¢3.11Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.6¢3.313Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.7¢3.524Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY3.3¢30.606Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL83.8¢2.06Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?SELL83.3¢2Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.4¢3.177Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.4¢1.631Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY83.9¢1.681Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%12%< 10%15%10–20%13%20–30%30–50%36%50–70%70–80%9%80–90%10%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.12
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.0%
Win Consistency43.2%
Profit Factor1.00
Drawdown Resilience0.81
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62
Trading Activity217 trades · 15 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$983d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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