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0x6b4C3Bf9C58E7A08fD879D2959A20C3BAA31EFa9-1771621490657

0x6b4c3b...31efa9
Smart Score
42
Win Rate
31.9%
Total P&L
-$314
Trade Count
231
Sharpe Ratio
0.91
Sortino Ratio
47.69
Max Drawdown
76.7%
ROI
-8.2%
Profit Factor
0.72
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
041.5/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY38.0¢39.474Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 78-79°F on March 5?BUY39.9¢37.627Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY83.6¢17.943Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 5?BUY37.3¢40.186Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 46-47°F on March 4?BUY41.6¢60.045Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on March 4?BUY29.3¢85.19Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 4?BUY41.0¢60.921Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 4?BUY28.9¢83.033Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on March 3?BUY18.0¢27.747Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?SELL5.0¢108.73Mar 3
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY10.6¢18.868Mar 3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY13.2¢15.152Mar 3
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY15.0¢13.311Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?BUY20.0¢25Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 3?BUY52.1¢47.97Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 40-41°F on March 3?BUY38.0¢5Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 3?SELL33.2¢52.42Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 3?BUY51.7¢48.353Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on March 3?BUY29.9¢83.733Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on March 3?SELL31.6¢72.69Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%10%< 10%11%10–20%13%20–30%35%30–50%25%50–70%4%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing41.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.28
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.8%
Win Consistency39.1%
Profit Factor1.08
Drawdown Resilience0.87
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.87
Weekly Sharpe est.0.66
Trading Activity231 trades · 13 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5661d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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