0x6b7bd9...e6330a

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.4%

Total P&L

+$1.5K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.11

Sortino Ratio

0.19

Max Drawdown

3200.0%

ROI

29.7%

Profit Factor

2.43

Kelly Fraction

0.349

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
ETH/BTC Up or Down on May 9?	BUY	52.0¢	15	May 8
Will Joe Biden say "China" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	53.0¢	50	May 7
Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	SELL	50.0¢	70	May 7
Will Joe Biden say "Social Security" during his May 8 interview?	BUY	62.0¢	750	May 7
Ethereum Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	50.0¢	70	May 7
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 8?	BUY	50.0¢	1,000	May 7
Will Trump say "Medical" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	61.0¢	140	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	43.0¢	305	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	43.0¢	555	May 5
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 5+ times during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	43.0¢	140	May 5
Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	29.0¢	145	May 4
Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	29.0¢	60	May 4
Will Trump say "Tom" or "Homan" during Carney visit on May 6?	BUY	29.0¢	795	May 4
Will Michael Saylor say "Bitcoin" 100+ times during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?	BUY	77.0¢	125	Apr 30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?	BUY	49.0¢	65	Apr 30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?	BUY	49.0¢	580	Apr 30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?	BUY	49.0¢	280	Apr 30
Will Athletic Club win on 2025-05-01?	BUY	49.0¢	10	Apr 30
Will Michael Saylor say "A.I" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?	BUY	53.0¢	635	Apr 30
Will Michael Saylor say "A.I" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the Q1 2025 Strategy earnings call?	BUY	53.0¢	45	Apr 30

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.2%

Win Consistency43.8%

Profit Factor0.55

Drawdown Resilience0.44

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity50 trades · 13 active days

P&L Calendar

$4,1840d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue