0x6c6066...a133ef

Smart Score

Win Rate

63.0%

Total P&L

-$149

Trade Count

346

Sharpe Ratio

-0.48

Sortino Ratio

-0.55

Max Drawdown

5796.4%

ROI

-6.3%

Profit Factor

0.56

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

03.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.5¢	6.133	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.5¢	6.133	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	97.5¢	6.136	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	3.48	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	3.26	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	1.74	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	3.26	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	1.74	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	SELL	95.7¢	5	Mar 5
Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?	BUY	83.0¢	51.747	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	53.0¢	84.83	Mar 1
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	37.0¢	84.838	Feb 24
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?	BUY	98.2¢	32.841	Feb 23
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	88.0¢	3.31	Feb 23
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	96.9¢	5.01	Feb 23

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing3.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.19

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)3.1%

Win Consistency41.0%

Profit Factor0.09

Drawdown Resilience0.07

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.07

Weekly Sharpe est.0.05

Trading Activity346 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$97711d profit25d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue