0x6c75F45A94f8105bE18507D0050eF8D44fec9FE9-1771725511559

0x6c75f4...ec9fe9

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.0%

Total P&L

+$14

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

1.46

Sortino Ratio

19.35

Max Drawdown

2277.8%

ROI

0.1%

Profit Factor

8.73

Kelly Fraction

0.461

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

046.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	82.0¢	8.537	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	10.71	Mar 5
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	10.714	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	7.17	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	7.172	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.8¢	6.13	Mar 4
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.9¢	6.129	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	10.101	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 8AM ET	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Mar 3
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	65.0¢	9.09	Mar 3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	78.3¢	12.75	Mar 3
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	66.0¢	11.94	Mar 3
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	78.4¢	12.755	Mar 3
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	67.0¢	11.94	Mar 2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	97.7¢	8.17	Mar 2
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	97.8¢	8.18	Mar 2
CA Banfield vs. CA Aldosivi: O/U 4.5	BUY	95.0¢	8	Mar 2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	94.0¢	9.57	Mar 2
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	94.0¢	9.574	Mar 2
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	66.0¢	9.091	Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing46.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.56

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)42.4%

Win Consistency40.0%

Profit Factor1.21

Drawdown Resilience0.98

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.98

Weekly Sharpe est.0.75

Trading Activity49 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$1362d profit7d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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