Accrue
Log inGet Access

0x6c9812...6bd6c6

0x6c9812...6bd6c6
Smart Score
25
Win Rate
44.4%
Total P&L
+$35
Trade Count
371
Sharpe Ratio
0.46
Sortino Ratio
11.85
Max Drawdown
1148.2%
ROI
3.9%
Profit Factor
1.09
Kelly Fraction
0.038
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
025/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY21.2¢10.472Mar 5
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?BUY28.0¢10.714Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY60.1¢4.459Mar 5
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?BUY60.0¢4.767Mar 5
Will annual inflation increase by 2.5% in February?BUY60.0¢4.767Mar 5
Olympiacos B.C. vs. PanathinaikosBUY54.0¢5.463Mar 5
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 March 2-8?BUY72.0¢3.375Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 March 2-8?BUY39.0¢7.615Mar 5
Will CA Huracán win on 2026-03-03?BUY67.0¢4.358Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on March 4?BUY39.0¢7.615Mar 3
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?BUY13.6¢21.618Mar 3
Will Meta (META) finish week of March 2 above $650?BUY57.0¢4.14Mar 2
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?BUY42.0¢7.119Mar 2
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?BUY67.0¢4.358Mar 2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03?BUY66.0¢4.364Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY39.7¢5.516Mar 2
Will Iran strike Oman in March?BUY37.0¢5.211Mar 2
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?SELL32.0¢9.19Mar 2
Will Kevin Warsh be formally nominated to be Chair of the Federal Reserve by March 31, 2026?SELL32.0¢16.21Mar 2
Will James Talarico and John Cornyn be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?SELL11.0¢15Mar 2

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue
Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%5%< 10%9%10–20%13%20–30%27%30–50%35%50–70%10%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing25

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.38
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.8%
Win Consistency37.8%
Profit Factor0.65
Drawdown Resilience0.53
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53
Weekly Sharpe est.0.40
Trading Activity371 trades · 27 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$8022d profit25d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics