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0x6CF8863Eb5Dd1DDf40f659879879E7c2EE1a2E2E-1736392492480

0x6cf886...1a2e2e
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
27.8%
Total P&L
+$1.4K
Trade Count
179
Sharpe Ratio
0.41
Sortino Ratio
35.32
Max Drawdown
21.5%
ROI
9.4%
Profit Factor
0.32
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?SELL45.0¢237.99Feb 26
Mavericks vs. LakersBUY10.0¢200Feb 26
Mavericks vs. LakersBUY28.0¢71.429Feb 25
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY42.0¢37.84Feb 16
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY42.0¢149.83Feb 16
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY42.0¢5Feb 16
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY42.0¢13.09Feb 16
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY42.0¢17.241Feb 16
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY42.0¢13.259Feb 16
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?BUY42.0¢1.724Feb 16
Super Bowl LIX WinnerBUY0.2¢1,834.64Feb 9
Super Bowl LIX WinnerBUY0.2¢110.22Feb 9
Super Bowl LIX WinnerBUY0.2¢392.3Feb 9
Super Bowl LIX WinnerBUY0.2¢162.84Feb 9
Super Bowl LIX WinnerBUY2.0¢1,250Feb 9
Super Bowl LIX WinnerBUY9.0¢1,111.111Feb 9
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?BUY16.0¢46.56Jan 29
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?BUY16.0¢261.41Jan 29
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?BUY16.0¢1.19Jan 29
Will the Palisades fire be fully contained by January 31?BUY22.0¢236.37Jan 29

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%32%< 10%12%10–20%12%20–30%26%30–50%6%50–70%8%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.94
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.0%
Win Consistency80.0%
Profit Factor0.92
Drawdown Resilience0.74
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74
Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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