0x6d20b9...08a7c9

Smart Score

Win Rate

86.6%

Total P&L

+$30.9K

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.12

Sortino Ratio

1.66

Max Drawdown

1187.4%

ROI

3.2%

Profit Factor

50.03

Kelly Fraction

0.849

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

045.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	BUY	99.8¢	12.46	Dec 24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	16.76	Dec 24
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?	BUY	99.6¢	11.044	Nov 8
Will Bello Bouba Maïgari win the Cameroon Presidential Election?	BUY	99.9¢	6.206	Oct 9
Will elections be called before a new Prime Minister is appointed?	BUY	99.9¢	5.905	Sep 13
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% or more in September?	BUY	96.7¢	5.481	Sep 13
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from September 9 to September 16, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	4.104	Sep 13
Will HEROIC win the 2025 CS2 Esports World Cup Tournament?	BUY	98.5¢	1.503	Aug 22
Will XRP reach $5.00 in August?	BUY	99.3¢	5.237	Aug 22
Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?	BUY	99.7¢	24.36	Aug 22
Will ODS win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary election?	BUY	98.8¢	2.227	Jul 25
Will global temperature increase by less than 0.90ºC in July 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	3.41	Jul 25
Will Trump’s approval rating be ≥45.5% on July 25?	BUY	99.9¢	5.605	Jul 25
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.0% or less in June?	BUY	99.8¢	2.505	Jul 13
Will Solana dip to $80 in July?	BUY	99.3¢	5.337	Jul 13
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in July?	BUY	99.8¢	6.81	Jul 13
Thunder vs. 76ers	BUY	66.0¢	6.5	Jul 7
Will global temperature increase by less than 0.95ºC in June 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	4.909	Jun 27
Will US GDP growth in Q2 2025 be between -1% and -2%?	BUY	99.6¢	2.309	Jun 27
Will another company be the largest in the world by market cap on June 30?	BUY	99.7¢	2.909	Jun 19

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing45.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.49

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)41.1%

Win Consistency69.5%

Profit Factor1.18

Drawdown Resilience0.95

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.95

Weekly Sharpe est.0.72

Trading Activity48 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$8260d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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