0x6de983...67a8e5

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.6%

Total P&L

+$3.7K

Trade Count

2,290

Sharpe Ratio

1.31

Sortino Ratio

7.61

Max Drawdown

1150.1%

ROI

17.5%

Profit Factor

2.45

Kelly Fraction

0.347

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	85.3¢	1.73	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	SELL	88.2¢	19	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	27.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	SELL	11.1¢	2.43	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 5, 2026?	BUY	43.0¢	12.05	Mar 5
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 6, 2026?	BUY	13.1¢	13.6	Mar 5
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?	BUY	86.6¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	68.5¢	50.68	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	68.5¢	0.02	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	68.5¢	1.347	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	37.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	37.0¢	5	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	37.0¢	36.41	Mar 5
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	BUY	37.0¢	3	Mar 4
Will "Scream 7" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 19m?	BUY	37.0¢	2	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	111.98	Mar 4
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.15	Mar 4
Will the US strike 3 countries in February 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	67.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	BUY	87.0¢	13.66	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)36.9%

Win Consistency59.3%

Profit Factor1.05

Drawdown Resilience0.85

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85

Weekly Sharpe est.0.65

Trading Activity2,290 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$5,2042d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue