0x6E1D7d23EaAB44CC95d0c4cc82263296653e3B54-1772292850311

0x6e1d7d...3e3b54

Smart Score

Win Rate

58.3%

Total P&L

+$140

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.03

Sortino Ratio

-0.03

Max Drawdown

151.7%

ROI

10.6%

Profit Factor

4.14

Kelly Fraction

0.442

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

034.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike a Gulf State on March 5?	BUY	93.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	29	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	81.25	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	96.741	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	12.18	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	200	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	100	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	29	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	10	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	53	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	29	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	9.902	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	3.3	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	10	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	45	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	10	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	8.72	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	11.28	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	29	Mar 4
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	10.1¢	20	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing34.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)31.3%

Win Consistency41.7%

Profit Factor0.89

Drawdown Resilience0.72

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.72

Weekly Sharpe est.0.55

Trading Activity42 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0630d profit6d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue