0x6e4976...01f1af

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.3%

Total P&L

+$33.8K

Trade Count

3,777

Sharpe Ratio

1.01

Sortino Ratio

8.21

Max Drawdown

599.4%

ROI

14.0%

Profit Factor

3.00

Kelly Fraction

0.309

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

039.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	75.0¢	542.72	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	38.7¢	94.78	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	35.2¢	56.81	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	37.5¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	38.0¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	67.0¢	121.9	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	40.7¢	20	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	39.6¢	100	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	69.8¢	161.09	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	78.0¢	214.28	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?	BUY	32.0¢	80.44	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?	BUY	67.0¢	200	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	46.0¢	150	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	67.0¢	111.49	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	63.0¢	7.89	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	38.0¢	30	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	62.0¢	192	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	62.0¢	22.28	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	75.0¢	67.32	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	38.0¢	174.04	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing39.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.17

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.9%

Win Consistency48.8%

Profit Factor1.03

Drawdown Resilience0.83

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.83

Weekly Sharpe est.0.63

Trading Activity3,777 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$46,9244d profit14d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue