0x70D72144A9c47C6c2b39B1D45ecd52b8f31F1334-1771989118985

0x70d721...1f1334

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.6%

Total P&L

+$30

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

6.83

Sortino Ratio

107.19

Max Drawdown

38.8%

ROI

1.5%

Profit Factor

1.70

Kelly Fraction

0.229

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

058.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	BUY	33.0¢	200	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	49.0¢	49.29	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	49.0¢	50.71	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	51.7¢	100	Mar 5
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	SELL	39.1¢	1,039.98	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	47.0¢	106.383	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	65.8¢	151.97	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	SELL	80.0¢	61.72	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	61.0¢	80.64	Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	17.3¢	276.24	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	24.0¢	229.167	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	SELL	81.1¢	69.54	Mar 4
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	BUY	43.0¢	930.233	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	72.0¢	277.778	Mar 4
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	61.728	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	72.0¢	277.778	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	62.0¢	80.645	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	71.9¢	69.549	Mar 4
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	18.1¢	276.243	Mar 4
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	BUY	41.0¢	109.756	Feb 24

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Active58.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)3.24

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)53.6%

Win Consistency55.6%

Profit Factor1.53

Drawdown Resilience1.24

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.24

Weekly Sharpe est.0.94

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue