0x71b607...4eae11

Smart Score

Win Rate

65.3%

Total P&L

+$12

Trade Count

844

Sharpe Ratio

-0.39

Sortino Ratio

-0.62

Max Drawdown

6093.4%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.02

Kelly Fraction

0.016

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

08.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	8.0¢	0.01	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	8.0¢	1.42	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	7.0¢	0.05	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	7.0¢	0.14	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	9.0¢	0.06	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	13.0¢	0.13	Mar 5
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	BUY	23.0¢	9.957	Mar 5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?	BUY	70.0¢	3.329	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	60.0¢	0.57	Mar 5
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	82.0¢	7.085	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	53.0¢	9.95	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	55.0¢	1.76	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	57.0¢	3.54	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	54.0¢	6.13	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	SELL	48.0¢	7.19	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 31?	BUY	49.0¢	29.143	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 5, 2026?	SELL	99.5¢	9.8	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	64.0¢	0.19	Mar 4
Will Iran strike Israel on March 5?	SELL	61.0¢	2.93	Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?	BUY	83.0¢	2.084	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing8.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.48

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.0%

Win Consistency53.8%

Profit Factor0.23

Drawdown Resilience0.18

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.18

Weekly Sharpe est.0.14

Trading Activity844 trades · 26 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,3085d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue